Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 199.867946 232.217847 269.421815 315.663081 371.996401 438.908785 525.168153
2025-08-24 154.364474 194.070543 244.467659 314.193652 409.871008 539.142646 731.603889
2025-08-31 129.703485 171.860240 229.061824 314.365528 441.962404 631.941338 948.841452
2025-09-07 114.007450 157.440438 219.594325 318.139208 476.607294 733.240324 1207.425371
2025-09-14 98.034568 139.633777 201.603752 304.602109 479.939932 783.835859 1395.393763
2025-09-21 88.553774 129.816809 193.650667 304.635844 504.341920 874.682666 1688.229056
2025-09-28 81.394495 122.468312 188.231429 307.434569 533.424163 980.694001 2052.560828
2025-10-05 78.627851 121.628473 193.061950 328.553246 600.741116 1180.778868 2720.276666
2025-10-12 75.509402 119.737651 195.695530 345.884140 664.363562 1392.779204 3531.951888
2025-10-19 70.045919 113.191180 189.202296 344.426216 687.933237 1519.675266 4176.910577
2025-10-26 66.873117 110.271464 188.857452 355.087279 740.740126 1736.620393 5246.327629
2025-11-02 63.308231 106.250602 185.907480 359.748597 780.592662 1933.639862 6394.557219
2025-11-09 59.617519 102.083052 183.056665 366.276259 832.571781 2204.313457 8164.796561
2025-11-16 55.355720 96.462019 176.767297 364.416836 864.084424 2433.970933 10061.569226
2025-11-23 51.802578 91.798553 171.780134 364.621168 901.587747 2704.616461 12555.472435
2025-11-30 49.018415 88.333553 168.818700 369.146653 953.268549 3057.053958 16133.535160
2025-12-07 44.874332 81.732737 158.327392 352.922971 937.665148 3144.301387 18138.250471
2025-12-14 42.397827 78.300224 154.381646 352.963365 974.083012 3471.142769 22702.721456
2025-12-21 40.390281 75.643604 151.845579 356.315156 1023.001700 3889.261682 29250.858968
2025-12-28 39.968326 76.280934 156.914828 381.646950 1158.204685 4834.196094 45001.633456
2026-01-04 39.222671 76.138075 160.128640 402.486184 1286.507441 5876.976290 68236.331784
2026-01-11 37.253535 73.114785 156.009672 400.731409 1326.215157 6446.596742 87960.219261
2026-01-18 36.196142 72.036510 156.571709 413.570347 1432.333872 7566.856798 129902.001027